Track: Keeneland
Race Date: 10/21/2026
Prepared By: TrackSmart AI's Advanced Artificial Intelligence Racing Engine
Every race features AI-driven pace projections, Top 3 win contenders, and upset alerts — designed exclusively for players at SaratogaBets, BataviaBets, EmpireCityBets, and Capital OTB.
The Machine operates independently of the Morning Line. Unlike standard handicapping models that lean on public sentiment or oddsmaker predictions, TrackSmart AI generates its figures blind—before the Morning Line is even released. Pure Fundamental Analysis: AI selections are derived 100% from performance data, pace mechanics, and class algorithms. The Machine does not know who the "favorite" is supposed to be.
Race 1 — Maiden Claiming / $75,000 / 6 Furlongs (Dirt)
AI Confidence Rank: #8 Combined Win % (Top 3): 54%
AI Pace Projection & Race Dynamics
Projected Race Shape: Unsettled — early speed is unproven, with soft fractions expected but no clear sorting of the early order.
Early Speed Edge (TS Ignition / TS Surge): No proven controlling speed; the early order is unsettled.
Late Kick Advantage (TS Closer): #7 Midnight Burst holds the Late Kick Advantage and benefits if the unproven front-runners falter.
Deep Flow Analysis: Break: Most of this field is unproven on the surface, including a group of first-time starters, so no runner is a confirmed sender. Turn: With no established pace pressure, the tempo stays soft and the order remains murky. Stretch: #7 Midnight Burst is well positioned to pick up the pieces, returning to maiden claiming company on a forgiving setup, while #2 Magical Mikel owns the best exposed form but lacks early zip.
The Pace Beneficiary: #7 Midnight Burst — Late Kick Advantage in an unsettled, soft-tempo scenario.
The Machine's Selections
#7 — Midnight Burst
Normalized TPN: 100 | Win Probability: 20%
The Setup: Returns off a 124-day layoff and drops sharply into maiden claiming company.
The Edge: Holds a B+ TS Caliber and a B+ TS Power Score in a field short on exposed form, with a B TS Velocity grade from the lone prior start. Sits 4 Normalized TPN points clear of #5 Ghost Wish.
TrackSmart Alert: Golden Parachute Drop
#5 — Ghost Wish
Normalized TPN: 96 | Win Probability: 18%
The Setup: First-time starter for a barn that is showing intent in morning gate drills.
The Edge: No race grades to price, so the case rests on strong morning readiness and a soft spot to debut. Sits 3 Normalized TPN points clear of #1 Black Jacket Crazy.
TrackSmart Alert: Live FTS
#1 — Black Jacket Crazy
Normalized TPN: 93 | Win Probability: 16%
The Setup: Debuts for a top barn with a solid foundation of works.
The Edge: The profile is all potential, with no grades to confirm, but the Normalized TPN of 93 keeps this runner in the thick of a wide-open race, 3 points clear of #9 Flanker.
TrackSmart Alert: Live FTS
#9 — Flanker
Normalized TPN: 90 | Win Probability: 13%
The Setup: Debut runner for a top barn showing steady morning preparation.
The Edge: A Normalized TPN of 90 reflects a dangerous first-time starter in a race with no proven speed to chase down. Offers the price upside of the top four at a fair number.
The Machine's Final Analysis
Midnight Burst takes a large class drop into a race where early speed is unproven and the tempo projects soft. His B+ TS Caliber and B+ TS Power Score lead a field full of first-time starters, and the late kick advantage fits the scenario. Ghost Wish is the primary danger on debut.
Alternate Selection (Scratch Protection)
#4 — Nickyb
Normalized TPN: 88 | Win Probability: 11%
Angle: First-time starter that sits within two Normalized TPN points of #9 Flanker. A debut in a field this unproven keeps the upside live if the top four stumble.
Scratch Rule: This runner moves into the #4 slot if any Top 4 selection is scratched.
Race 2 — Claiming / $20,000 / 1 1/16 Miles (Dirt)
AI Confidence Rank: #7 Combined Win % (Top 3): 64%
AI Pace Projection & Race Dynamics
Projected Race Shape: Contested / Honest-Fast — an honest tempo with the early speed likely to test one another.
Early Speed Edge (TS Ignition / TS Surge): #7 First of His Name holds the front-running edge, projecting a B+ TS Ignition and a B+ TS Surge.
Late Kick Advantage (TS Closer): #5 Miami Frank holds the Late Kick Advantage with a B+ TS Closer grade.
Deep Flow Analysis: Break: #7 First of His Name and #2 Jinxzi lock horns early. Turn: The leaders test each other through the bend, setting up a demanding pace scenario. Stretch: #5 Miami Frank holds the Late Kick Advantage and is well spotted to pick up the pieces as the front-runners tire.
The Pace Beneficiary: #5 Miami Frank — Chaos Survivor with a B+ TS Closer grade.
The Machine's Selections
#6 — East Village
Normalized TPN: 100 | Win Probability: 26%
The Setup: Nine-race veteran making a lateral move while racing every three to four weeks with form holding.
The Edge: Owns an A- TS Caliber and an A- TS Power Score with a B+ TS Velocity grade and a B+ TS Ignition and TS Surge pressing profile. Sits 4 Normalized TPN points clear of #5 Miami Frank.
#5 — Miami Frank
Normalized TPN: 96 | Win Probability: 23%
The Setup: Returns off a 139-day layoff, dropping in class, with consistent works signaling readiness.
The Edge: Holds an A TS Power Score and a B+ TS Closer grade, which fits the late kick role in a contested pace. Sits 3 Normalized TPN points clear of #7 First of His Name.
TrackSmart Alert: Class Plunge
#7 — First of His Name
Normalized TPN: 93 | Win Probability: 15%
The Setup: Current form with a lateral move and the front-running role in a field short on early speed.
The Edge: Carries a B TS Velocity grade and a B+ TS Power Score as the honest pace presence. Sits 3 Normalized TPN points clear of #2 Jinxzi.
TrackSmart Alert: Live Overlay
#2 — Jinxzi
Normalized TPN: 90 | Win Probability: 11%
The Setup: Consistent stalker racing every three to four weeks, making a lateral move.
The Edge: Holds a B TS Velocity grade, a B+ TS Power Score, and a B+ TS Ignition and TS Surge profile that keeps him on the pace. Offers the price upside of the top four.
TrackSmart Alert: Live Overlay
The Machine's Final Analysis
East Village holds the strongest TS grade profile on the card with an A- TS Caliber and TS Power Score and a pressing style that fits the honest tempo. The early duel between #7 and #2 sets up Miami Frank's late run, making him the main danger.
Alternate Selection (Scratch Protection)
#3 — Aerate
Normalized TPN: 88 | Win Probability: 9%
Angle: Sits within two Normalized TPN points of #2 Jinxzi but needs a pace collapse to factor, which the contested front end can provide.
Scratch Rule: This runner moves into the #4 slot if any Top 4 selection is scratched.
Race 3 — Maiden Claiming / $150,000 / 6½ Furlongs (Dirt)
AI Confidence Rank: #3 Combined Win % (Top 3): 59%
AI Pace Projection & Race Dynamics
Projected Race Shape: Unsettled — early speed is unproven, with an honest tempo but an uncertain early order.
Early Speed Edge (TS Ignition / TS Surge): No proven controlling speed; the early order is unsettled.
Late Kick Advantage (TS Closer): #3 La Noche Negra holds the Late Kick Advantage and benefits if the unproven front-runners falter.
Deep Flow Analysis: Break: Most of this field is unproven on the surface, including several first-time starters, so the early order is unclear. Turn: With no established pace pressure, the tempo is honest but uncontrolled. Stretch: #3 La Noche Negra is well spotted to pick up the pieces, returning to maiden claiming company on a forgiving pace setup, while #5 Fair Practice owns the best exposed form but lacks early zip.
The Pace Beneficiary: #3 La Noche Negra — Late Kick Advantage in an unsettled scenario.
The Machine's Selections
#5 — Fair Practice
Normalized TPN: 100 | Win Probability: 31%
The Setup: Second-time starter dropping in class from maiden special weight company.
The Edge: Holds an A TS Caliber and an A+ TS Power Score with an A TS Ignition and TS Surge and a B+ TS Velocity grade. Sits 6 Normalized TPN points clear of #8 Prayer to Lucia.
#8 — Prayer to Lucia
Normalized TPN: 94 | Win Probability: 15%
The Setup: Second career start, dropping in class off a sharp morning four-furlong work.
The Edge: Holds a B+ TS Caliber and a B+ TS Power Score with a B TS Velocity grade, and the work signals strong morning readiness. Sits 3 Normalized TPN points clear of #6 Go Missy Go.
TrackSmart Alert: Live Overlay
#6 — Go Missy Go
Normalized TPN: 91 | Win Probability: 13%
The Setup: Second career start with a lateral move and natural progression expected.
The Edge: Carries a B+ TS Caliber and a B+ TS Power Score with a B TS Velocity grade. Sits 2 Normalized TPN points clear of #3 La Noche Negra.
TrackSmart Alert: Live Overlay
#3 — La Noche Negra
Normalized TPN: 89 | Win Probability: 10%
The Setup: Four-race veteran dropping in class and racing every three to four weeks.
The Edge: Holds a B+ TS Caliber and a B+ TS Power Score with a B+ TS Ignition and TS Surge that keeps this tactical stalker within range. Offers value as the pace beneficiary at a long price.
TrackSmart Alert: Live Overlay
The Machine's Final Analysis
Fair Practice combines an A TS Caliber, an A+ TS Power Score and A-grade TS Ignition and TS Surge, a profile no rival can match on paper. His Normalized TPN of 100 stands 6 points clear of the next runner, and the class drop sets the table. Prayer to Lucia is the main danger.
Alternate Selection (Scratch Protection)
#11 — Lady Lichi
Normalized TPN: 88 | Win Probability: 8%
Angle: First-time starter that sits one Normalized TPN point behind #3 La Noche Negra. Debut upside keeps this runner live if a top four selection is scratched.
Scratch Rule: This runner moves into the #4 slot if any Top 4 selection is scratched.
Race 4 — Starter Allowance / $20,000 / 7 Furlongs (Dirt)
AI Confidence Rank: #5 Combined Win % (Top 3): 66%
AI Pace Projection & Race Dynamics
Projected Race Shape: Crowded Early Speed — a fast early tempo with the leaders likely to test each other early.
Early Speed Edge (TS Ignition / TS Surge): No lone controlling speed; early positions are contested. #9 Five o' Somewhere, #3 Proprietary Trade, #5 Cool Cowboy and #1 Tiz Mary's Comet all press the pace.
Late Kick Advantage (TS Closer): #2 Two Seven O holds the Late Kick Advantage with an A- TS Closer grade.
Deep Flow Analysis: Break: #9 Five o' Somewhere and #3 Proprietary Trade lock horns early. Turn: The crowded front end tests one another through the bend, setting up a demanding pace. Stretch: #2 Two Seven O holds the Late Kick Advantage and is well spotted to pick up the pieces as the leaders tire.
The Pace Beneficiary: #2 Two Seven O — Chaos Survivor with an A- TS Closer grade.
The Machine's Selections
#2 — Two Seven O
Normalized TPN: 100 | Win Probability: 27%
The Setup: Takes a big drop in class off a start 13 days ago.
The Edge: Holds an A TS Caliber, an A+ TS Power Score and an A- TS Closer grade, an ideal combination against a crowded front end. Sits 3 Normalized TPN points clear of #3 Proprietary Trade.
TrackSmart Alert: Live Overlay
#3 — Proprietary Trade
Normalized TPN: 97 | Win Probability: 24%
The Setup: Returns off a 249-day layoff, dropping in class, with consistent works signaling readiness.
The Edge: Owns an A TS Caliber, an A TS Power Score and an A TS Ignition, and presses the early pace. Sits 3 Normalized TPN points clear of #1 Tiz Mary's Comet.
TrackSmart Alert: Dropper's Edge
#1 — Tiz Mary's Comet
Normalized TPN: 94 | Win Probability: 15%
The Setup: Nine-race veteran dropping in class and racing every three to four weeks.
The Edge: Holds an A TS Power Score with an A- TS Ignition and TS Surge and a B+ TS Closer grade. Sits 4 Normalized TPN points clear of #8 Clooney.
#8 — Clooney
Normalized TPN: 90 | Win Probability: 12%
The Setup: Freshened for 118 days and dropping in class with steady works.
The Edge: Holds an A TS Caliber, an A TS Power Score and an A- TS Velocity grade. Offers value in a race likely to unfold fast.
TrackSmart Alert: Dropper's Edge
The Machine's Final Analysis
With a crowded front end projecting a fast tempo, Two Seven O's A- TS Closer grade and A+ TS Power Score make him the likely beneficiary. The class drop and a Normalized TPN of 100 back the pick. Proprietary Trade is the primary danger off the layoff.
Alternate Selection (Scratch Protection)
#9 — Five o' Somewhere
Normalized TPN: 88 | Win Probability: 8%
Angle: Consistent stalker getting class relief, two Normalized TPN points behind #8 Clooney. Faces the hot early pace but has the profile to hold on if the pressure eases.
Scratch Rule: This runner moves into the #4 slot if any Top 4 selection is scratched.
Race 5 — Maiden Special Weight / $110,000 / 1 1/16 Miles (Dirt)
AI Confidence Rank: #2 Combined Win % (Top 3): 65%
AI Pace Projection & Race Dynamics
Projected Race Shape: Unsettled — early speed is unproven, with an honest tempo but an uncertain early order.
Early Speed Edge (TS Ignition / TS Surge): No proven controlling speed; the early order is unsettled.
Late Kick Advantage (TS Closer): #2 Jackpot Rocket holds the Late Kick Advantage and benefits if the unproven front-runners falter.
Deep Flow Analysis: Break: Most of this field is unproven on the surface, including first-time starters, so no runner is a confirmed sender. Turn: With no established pace pressure, the tempo is honest but uncontrolled. Stretch: #2 Jackpot Rocket holds the Late Kick Advantage and is well spotted to pick up the pieces, while #7 Justification owns the best exposed form but lacks early zip.
The Pace Beneficiary: #2 Jackpot Rocket — Late Kick Advantage in an unsettled scenario.
The Machine's Selections
#2 — Jackpot Rocket
Normalized TPN: 100 | Win Probability: 32%
The Setup: Second-time starter making a lateral move, returning after 46 days.
The Edge: Holds an A TS Caliber, an A+ TS Power Score and a B+ TS Velocity grade. Sits 5 Normalized TPN points clear of #4 Social Deception.
#4 — Social Deception
Normalized TPN: 95 | Win Probability: 19%
The Setup: Second career start making a lateral move for a top barn.
The Edge: Holds an A TS Caliber, an A+ TS Power Score and a B+ TS Velocity grade. Sits 3 Normalized TPN points clear of #7 Justification.
TrackSmart Alert: Live Overlay
#7 — Justification
Normalized TPN: 92 | Win Probability: 14%
The Setup: Second career start, tactical stalker, with a sharp four-furlong work on October 10.
The Edge: Carries an A TS Caliber and an A TS Power Score with a B TS Velocity grade, and the work signals strong morning readiness. Sits 2 Normalized TPN points clear of #10 Tower Hill.
TrackSmart Alert: Live Overlay
#10 — Tower Hill
Normalized TPN: 90 | Win Probability: 11%
The Setup: First-time starter with a sharp four-furlong work on October 15.
The Edge: Debut runner with no grades to confirm, but a Normalized TPN of 90 and strong morning readiness make this a dangerous first-time starter at a long price.
TrackSmart Alert: Live FTS
The Machine's Final Analysis
Jackpot Rocket's A TS Caliber and A+ TS Power Score lead a field built around unproven runners, and the unsettled pace favors his late kick. Social Deception is the main danger, with the two longer prices offering upside in the exotics.
Alternate Selection (Scratch Protection)
#9 — Objectivity
Normalized TPN: 88 | Win Probability: 7%
Angle: First-time starter sitting two Normalized TPN points behind #10 Tower Hill. Debut upside keeps this runner live if a top four selection is scratched.
Scratch Rule: This runner moves into the #4 slot if any Top 4 selection is scratched.
Race 6 — Allowance / $150,000 (N4X) / 5½ Furlongs (Turf)
AI Confidence Rank: #6 Combined Win % (Top 3): 62%
AI Pace Projection & Race Dynamics
Projected Race Shape: Controlled / Honest — an honest tempo with one runner in control of the early fractions.
Early Speed Edge (TS Ignition / TS Surge): #8 Lovely Emma holds the front-running edge, validated by an A TS Ignition and an A TS Surge.
Late Kick Advantage (TS Closer): #6 Big Trouble holds the Garden Spot, tracking just off the pace.
Deep Flow Analysis: Break: #8 Lovely Emma is the primary speed and should secure the early lead, dictating the fractions. Turn: #5 Me Governor applies moderate pressure from the outside, keeping the tempo honest but not destructive. Stretch: #6 Big Trouble holds the Garden Spot tracking just off the pace and has the back-class to capitalize if the leaders tire.
The Pace Beneficiary: #6 Big Trouble — Garden Spot just off the pace.
The Machine's Selections
#4 — Le Amazonia
Normalized TPN: 100 | Win Probability: 26%
The Setup: Sixteen-race veteran making a lateral move with an A TS Velocity trend across three starts.
The Edge: Holds an A TS Caliber, an A+ TS Power Score and an A grade in TS Ignition, TS Surge and TS Closer. Sits 3 Normalized TPN points clear of #5 Me Governor.
#5 — Me Governor
Normalized TPN: 97 | Win Probability: 21%
The Setup: Twenty-race veteran dropping in class and racing every three to four weeks.
The Edge: Holds an A TS Caliber, an A TS Power Score and an A grade in TS Ignition, TS Surge and TS Closer. Sits 2 Normalized TPN points clear of #7 Saturday Flirt.
TrackSmart Alert: Live Overlay
#7 — Saturday Flirt
Normalized TPN: 95 | Win Probability: 15%
The Setup: Nine-race veteran dropping in class with form holding.
The Edge: Carries an A- TS Caliber, an A TS Power Score and an A- TS Velocity trend. Sits 3 Normalized TPN points clear of #2 Do Gooder.
#2 — Do Gooder
Normalized TPN: 92 | Win Probability: 12%
The Setup: Twenty-one-race veteran dropping in class with form holding.
The Edge: Holds an A- TS Caliber, an A TS Power Score, an A TS Ignition and an A- TS Surge. Offers value as a stalker with class relief.
The Machine's Final Analysis
Le Amazonia is the only runner to post A grades in TS Velocity, TS Ignition, TS Surge and TS Closer, paired with an A+ TS Power Score, so the profile fits any pace shape this race can produce. Me Governor is the primary danger, and a Normalized TPN of 100 backs the pick.
Alternate Selection (Scratch Protection)
#9 — Sanctify
Normalized TPN: 90 | Win Probability: 10%
Angle: Sits two Normalized TPN points behind #2 Do Gooder. A step up in class with no supporting grade is the question, but the price upside keeps this runner on the board.
Scratch Rule: This runner moves into the #4 slot if any Top 4 selection is scratched.
Race 7 — Allowance / $120,000 (N1X) / 1 1/16 Miles (Dirt)
AI Confidence Rank: #1 Combined Win % (Top 3): 65%
AI Pace Projection & Race Dynamics
Projected Race Shape: Crowded Early Speed — an honest tempo with several runners pressing early.
Early Speed Edge (TS Ignition / TS Surge): No lone controlling speed; early positions are contested. #3 Freddie B represents the pressing speed.
Late Kick Advantage (TS Closer): #4 Pagode holds the Garden Spot tracking just off the pace, with a B+ TS Closer grade.
Deep Flow Analysis: Break: #3 Freddie B is the pressing speed in a crowded early field. Turn: The leaders test each other through the bend, setting up a demanding pace scenario. Stretch: #4 Pagode holds the Garden Spot tracking just off the pace and gets the first run on the tiring speed, making him the prime threat to inherit the win if the top pick falters.
The Pace Beneficiary: #4 Pagode — Garden Spot just off the pace.
The Machine's Selections
#4 — Pagode
Normalized TPN: 100 | Win Probability: 32%
The Setup: Nine-race veteran making a lateral move with form holding.
The Edge: Holds an A TS Caliber, an A+ TS Power Score and an A TS Velocity trend, with A grades in TS Ignition and TS Surge and a B+ TS Closer grade. Sits 6 Normalized TPN points clear of #9 Fuzzbuster.
#9 — Fuzzbuster
Normalized TPN: 94 | Win Probability: 19%
The Setup: Eight-race veteran making a lateral move, with a sharp four-furlong work on October 14.
The Edge: Holds an A TS Caliber, an A+ TS Power Score and B+ grades in TS Velocity, TS Ignition, TS Surge and TS Closer. Sits 3 Normalized TPN points clear of #11 Bourbon Flight.
#11 — Bourbon Flight
Normalized TPN: 91 | Win Probability: 14%
The Setup: Freshened for 52 days with steady works, making a lateral move.
The Edge: Holds an A TS Caliber, an A TS Power Score and B+ grades in TS Velocity, TS Ignition, TS Surge and TS Closer. Sits 2 Normalized TPN points clear of #7 Find No Fault.
#7 — Find No Fault
Normalized TPN: 89 | Win Probability: 11%
The Setup: Six-race veteran making a lateral move with steady works.
The Edge: Carries a B+ TS Caliber, an A- TS Power Score and B+ grades in TS Velocity, TS Surge and TS Closer. Offers late-kick value at a long price.
TrackSmart Alert: Live Overlay
The Machine's Final Analysis
Pagode owns an A TS Velocity trend, an A+ TS Power Score and A-grade TS Ignition and TS Surge, a profile that fits a crowded early scenario. His Normalized TPN of 100 sits 6 points clear of the field. Fuzzbuster is the main danger.
Alternate Selection (Scratch Protection)
#5 — Wonder Mist
Normalized TPN: 87 | Win Probability: 7%
Angle: Sits two Normalized TPN points behind #7 Find No Fault and needs a pace collapse to factor, which the crowded early speed can provide.
Scratch Rule: This runner moves into the #4 slot if any Top 4 selection is scratched.
Race 8 — Maiden Special Weight / $110,000 / 1 1/16 Miles (Turf)
AI Confidence Rank: #4 Combined Win % (Top 3): 65%
AI Pace Projection & Race Dynamics
Projected Race Shape: Unsettled — early speed is unproven, with an honest tempo but an uncertain early order.
Early Speed Edge (TS Ignition / TS Surge): No proven controlling speed; the early order is unsettled.
Late Kick Advantage (TS Closer): #12 Novo Mesto holds the Late Kick Advantage with an A- TS Closer grade.
Deep Flow Analysis: Break: Most of this field is unproven on the surface, including first-time starters, so the early order is unclear. Turn: With no established pace pressure, the tempo is honest but uncontrolled. Stretch: #12 Novo Mesto holds the Late Kick Advantage and is well spotted to pick up the pieces, while #10 Follow Your Heart owns the best exposed form but lacks early zip.
The Pace Beneficiary: #12 Novo Mesto — Late Kick Advantage with an A- TS Closer grade.
The Machine's Selections
#10 — Follow Your Heart
Normalized TPN: 100 | Win Probability: 32%
The Setup: Second career start, making a lateral move and returning off a 55-day break.
The Edge: Holds an A TS Caliber, an A+ TS Power Score and a B TS Velocity grade. Sits 3 Normalized TPN points clear of #12 Novo Mesto.
#12 — Novo Mesto
Normalized TPN: 97 | Win Probability: 19%
The Setup: Second career start for a barn with a hot connection, making a lateral move.
The Edge: Holds an A TS Caliber, an A+ TS Power Score and an A- TS Closer grade, which fits the unsettled pace. Sits 3 Normalized TPN points clear of #8 Bredkorn.
TrackSmart Alert: Live Overlay
#8 — Bredkorn
Normalized TPN: 94 | Win Probability: 14%
The Setup: Second-time starter dropping in class after a 53-day break.
The Edge: Carries a B+ TS Caliber, a B+ TS Power Score and a B TS Velocity grade. Sits 3 Normalized TPN points clear of #2 Majorbrowniepoints.
TrackSmart Alert: Live Overlay
#2 — Majorbrowniepoints
Normalized TPN: 91 | Win Probability: 11%
The Setup: Second-time starter dropping in class, with a sharp five-furlong work on October 10.
The Edge: Carries a B+ TS Caliber, a B+ TS Power Score and a C+ TS Velocity grade, and the work signals strong morning readiness. Offers value at a fair number.
The Machine's Final Analysis
Follow Your Heart posts an A TS Caliber and an A+ TS Power Score and leads a field short on exposed form. Novo Mesto's A- TS Closer grade fits the unsettled pace and makes him the primary danger.
Alternate Selection (Scratch Protection)
#3 — Ataya
Normalized TPN: 89 | Win Probability: 7%
Angle: Sits two Normalized TPN points behind #2 Majorbrowniepoints with strong works and a live first-time profile, offering the best upside outside the top four.
Scratch Rule: This runner moves into the #4 slot if any Top 4 selection is scratched.
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