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 Just a reminder that if you want today's Belmont full card selections & analysis, merely go back one page.


Today's Beatable Favorite(s): None


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Graded Stakes - 10/6 - Grade One Shadwell Turf Mile

 

Race 10

1.Almanaar ( GB )

2.Heart to Heart

3.Analyze It

#11 ALMANAAR (GB) has been lightly raced over the last two years ( just six starts ), but all those outings were honest enough and gelding got the job done in his only "3rd off the L/O" try. Mild edge in a wide open rendition of the Shadwell Mile. #5 HEART TO HEART went over the $2 million dollar mark despite the last place finish at Saratoga on August the 11th, but seven year old who still has all his parts has done fine work here and deserves another shot. #9 ANALYZE IT has burned money as the favorite in three straight outings, but as there is no Catholic Boy or Carrick ( or anyone else with a "C" at the start of their name, for that matter ), he can be a bit relieved in that regards. That aside, we admire the sexy body of work, but don't like the way he's given up the ghost over the last triad. DEMAND value.  OFF TURF: 14-8-2-9-16(AE) 

 

Belmont        ( Current )    25-179 ( $186.40 )    Beatable Favorites:   5-12  ( 41.2% )  Favorites Win %: 76-179  ( 42.5% )( As of Saturday morning )

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Saratoga           ( Final )   80-404   ( $865.30 )    Beatable Favorites:   7-40  ( 17.5% )  Favorites Win %: 142-404 ( 35.2% ) 

Belmont             ( Final )  88-499   ( $829.00 )    Beatable Favorites   12-39  ( 30.7% ) Favorites Win %: 170-499 ( 34.1% )

Indiana Grand     ( Final ):  3-8       ( $12.40 )      Beatable Favorites:   N/A                 Favorites Win %: 4-8        ( 40.0% )

Aqueduct Spring ( Final ): 15-138   ( $167.50 )    Beatable Favorites: 6-15  ( 40.0% )   Favorites Win % :61-138   ( 44.2% )

Aqueduct Winter ( Final ): 67-317   ( $493.40 )    Beatable Favorites: 4-17  ( 23.5% )   Favorites Win %: 121-328 ( 36.9% )

Graded Stakes     ( Final ):  8-48     ( $53.70 )     Beatable Favorites: 2-3    ( 66.7% )   Favorites Win %: 21-48    ( 43.8% )


All Triple Crown, Breeders' Cup, Selected Grade 1's and Travers full days  ( These are also counted in the "Dirt Tracks" category ):

( 2014-2018 Final ): 54-337   ( $473.70 ) Beatable Favorites: 16-49 ( 32.7% ) Favorite's Win %: 111-337  ( 33.0% )  +/-: -29.2% against a 17.1% takeout  


Poly Tracks 2014-6 (All Final): 85-568      ( $819.20 )   Beatable Favorites : 15-68    ( 22.1% ) Favorite's Win %: 163-587    ( 27.7% ) +/-: -27.6%  against a 15.6% takeout

Dirt Tracks  2014-8 (All Final):1947-9416 ($16,333.20) Beatable Favorites : 286-1026( 27.9% )Favorite's Win %: 3446-9510( 36.2% ) +/-: -13.3%  against a 16.7% takeout


Cumulative Stats   (All Final): 2032-9984 ($17,152.40)  Beatable Favorites : 301-1094( 27.5% )Favorite's Win %:3609-10096( 35.8% )+/-: -14.1%  against a 16.6% takeout


  CoxLA2017