KevinCoxItem


 

 

I'd like to leave this bit of info here for y'all. When we're using the DRF Formulator platform while writing our columns, if we say "Sprints", for the most part we mean any one turn race, and when we say "Routes", we mean any TWO turn race. ( For example, we consider a 1 1/8th mile race at Belmont an elongated sprint, and a 6 1/2 furlong race at a Charles Town a route. ) We feel this way, because in our eyes, it's the number of turns that necessitate more energy than being relaxed on a straightaway. Sometimes the sample size for our study can be too large to manually break down, so there may be a few from one category in another, but usually the end result is pretty much the same!


Today's Beatable Favorite(s):


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Belmont - 5/27

 

 Race 1

1.Itsinthestars

2.Eloweasel

3.Alabama Bound

#6 ITSINTHESTARS did some okay work last year in these turf sprints, and given some maturity points since then could be even better -- if 100% ready for the comebacker. Mild choice in an opener where we couldn't eliminate anyone. #2 ELOWEASEL has a win & a showing from as many second off the layoff attempts, and has yet to miss a triple at this tripola. Sensible "unders" candidate. #1 ALABAMA BOUND has hit the board in 2 of 3 when breaking from the pine & 2 of 3 in 2nd off the shelf tries ( with none of those races overlapping ). Seems to have become more of a rater than the speedball she used to be, and may save enough ground to be involved very late in the game.  OFF TURF: 6-3-4-5-2

 

      Race 2

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Race 3

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      Race 4

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      Race 5

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Race 6

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Race 7 

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 Race 8

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 Race 9

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 Race 10

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Belmont          ( Current ) 28-150   ( $214.50 )   Beatable Favorites   2-8   ( 25.0% )   Favorites Win %:  56-150   ( 37.3% )

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Aqueduct Spring ( Final ): 15-138   ( $167.50 )    Beatable Favorites: 6-15  ( 40.0% )    Favorites Win % :61-138   ( 44.2% )

Aqueduct Winter ( Final ): 67-317   ( $493.40 )    Beatable Favorites: 4-17  ( 23.5% )    Favorites Win %: 121-328 ( 36.9% )

Graded Stakes     ( Final ):  4-34     ( $34.40 )     Beatable Favorites: 2-3   ( 66.7% )     Favorites Win %: 15-34     ( 44.1% )


All Triple Crown, Breeders' Cup, Selected Grade 1's and Travers full days  ( These are also counted in the "Dirt Tracks" category ):

( 2014-2018 Final ): 50-326   ( $454.40 ) Beatable Favorites: 16-49 ( 32.7% ) Favorite's Win %: 106-326  ( 32.5% )  +/-: -30.3% against a 17.1% takeout   


Poly Tracks 2014-6 (All Final): 85-568      ( $819.20 )     Beatable Favorites : 15-68   ( 22.1% ) Favorite's Win %: 163-587    ( 27.7% ) +/-: -27.6%  against a 15.6% takeout

Dirt Tracks  2014-8 (All Final):1812-8491 ($14,607.80)  Beatable Favorites : 267-947( 28.2% ) Favorite's Win %: 3124-8585( 36.4% ) +/-: -13.9%  against a 16.7% takeout


Cumulative Stats   (All Final): 1897-9059   ($15,427.00) Beatable Favorites : 282-1015( 27.8% )Favorite's Win %: 3287-9172( 35.8% )+/-: -14.6% against a 16.6% takeout


 CoxLA2017